- By Bob Child
- 04/18/2014 07:10 PM
RAIN....AND PLENTY OF IT
Sunday looking more gloomy, too
Models are just that: models. They don't tell what will happen, but what could happen. And there are oodles of 'em to look at, compare, and choose from. Trends are something else...one model run does not a forecast make, but to see a steady trend in continual model runs every 6 hours, that can be more tell tale. And there are two clear trends showing up the past 24 hours in the Triad: higher rain totals, and a wet, showery Sunday, that looked dry just yesterday.
Rain is emminent as I type, spreading northward from the Gulf and now moving in northwestward from the Atlantic. A prodigious area of low pressure is cutting across northern FL and will slowly crawl up the SE coastline the next couple of days. Heaviest rains will fall in the eastern third of the Carolinas, where there will be a lot more wind....for the Triad, less wind, but still rains that are running 1.5"-2" in the models. Amounts do fall off dramatically the farther north and west you go from I-40, fyi, but suffice it to say we've got a soggy run for a while.
SO many Sunday activities and services planned outside, and they'd do well to have a backup plan indoors. It's increasingly likely that showers will stay around for most of Sunday, meaning the low pressure area will not be as quick to move off into the Atlantic..which spells a big UGH for many.
Ah, by Monday, sunshine and highs back to the average of 71 will be in place for the rest of next week, when it will feel more like what it should here this time of the year.
TONIGHT: Rain settles in. Low 45.
SATURDAY: Rain at times. High 56.